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1OPERATIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST VERIFICATION PRACTICE IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC REGION显示文摘This paper summarizes results of a survey of the operational status of tropical cyclone(TC) forecast verifi-cation in the western North Pacific region, covering the Members of the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee, RSMC Tokyo-Typhoon Center, and JTWC. Results of the survey indicate that significant efforts have been focused on the verification of TC forecast guidance by operational forecast agencies in the region, either individually or through international cooperation. A variety of TC forecast verification products are available to the forecasters in either real time or in post-season through multiple means, with the main focus on the deterministic track and intensity forecasts. Only a few verification products are available for probabilistic forecasts. Verification of TC precipitation and high wind forecasts are also lacking sufficient attention in the region. It would be helpful in the future to focus more attention toward these aspects and incorporate methods that will provide a greater depth of information regarding the TC forecast performance.HUI YU SAI TICK CHAN BARBARA BROWN MASASHI KUNITSUGU EDWARD FUKADA SANGWOOK PARK WOOJEONG LEE YINGLONG XU PEOU PHALLA BOUNTEUMSYSOUPHANTHAVONG SAU WA CHANG CHE GAYAH ISMAIL RENITO BPACIENTE PATRICIA EE CHAMNONG KAEOCHADA HOA VO VAN 2012Tropical Cyclone Research and Review2012,1,3:3
2WMO TYPHOON LANDFALL FORECAST DEMONSTRATION PROJECT(WMO-TLFDP) PROGRESS AND FUTURE PLANS显示文摘The 'WMO Typhoon Landfall Forecast Demonstration Project(TLFDP)' was started in May 2010 in conjunction with the start of the Shanghai World Expo 2010. The project was successful in terms of assisting the local forecasters in providing an efficient tropical cyclone(TC) forecast service for World Expo 2010, demonstrating the performance of the most up-to-date techniques in TC forecasting, and enhancing the ability of forecasters to effectively use products based on advanced TC forecasting techniques. The first phase was completed in December 2012 and the second phase was completed in December 2015. The third phase(TLFDP-III) started in 2016.During its first(2010-2012) and second(2013-2015) phases, TLFDP collected real-time TC forecast products from 15 Typhoon Forecast Product Providers(TFPPs). The products include deterministic track and intensity forecasts, ensemble track and intensity forecasts, deterministic wind radii forecasts, wind probability forecasts, and gridded model outputs. The products were disseminated through the project's website and the operational website of the Shanghai Typhoon Warning Center.TLFDP has made significant progress in TC forecast verification, including setting up the tools for both realtime and post-season TC forecast verification, developing and integrating several new verification techniques, carrying out a survey on the operational status of TC forecast verification in the western North Pacific region, and contributing to the WMO document 'Verification of tropical cyclone forecasts'. The post-season forecast verification was reported to the Session of the UNESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee since 2013. New consensus methods for TC track and intensity forecasts were also proposed either based on Ensemble Prediction Systems(EPSs) products or multiple deterministic NWP model products. Two training workshops on TC forecasting were organized by the TLFDP and held in Shanghai, China, in May 2010 and June 2012, respectively, and seven research fellowship projects were implemented as jointly supported by the UNESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee, Shanghai Typhoon Institute and Hong Kong Observatory.In its third phase(TLFDP-III, 2016-2018), the project will continue its effort on demonstration and evaluation of the newly developed forecasting techniques for TCs, and developing and documenting advanced guidance for the verification of TC forecasts, with special attention to TC intensity and precipitation.Xiaotu Lei Hui Yu Guomin Chen Barbara Brown Sai Tick Chan Ajit Tyagi 2016Tropical Cyclone Research and Review2016,5,3:2
3显示文摘 Borrolli N F Cornelius L K 1995J Appl Phys1995,78,11:1
4Nonlinear-optical properties of lead tin fluorophospate glass containing acridine dyes显示文摘TOMPKIN W R BOYD R W HALL D W TICK P A 1987J Opt Soc Am1987,4,6:1
5Predictors of the post-thrombotic syndrome with non-invasive venous examinations in patients 6 weeks after a first episode of deep vein thrombosis 显示文摘TICK LW DOGGEN CJ ROSENDAAL FR 2010J Thromb Haemost2010,8,12:1
6Risk factors for post-thrombotic syndrome in patients with a first deep venous throm- bosis显示文摘TICK LW KRAMER MH ROSENDAAL FR 2008J Thromb Haemost2008,6,12:1
7Water durable glasses with ultra low melting temperature 显示文摘TICK P A 1984Phys Chem Glass1984,25,6:1
8Impact response ofaluminum foam core sandwich structures 显示文摘Mohan K Y Tick H Idapalapati S 2011MaterialsScience and Engineering A2011,529,1:1
9Modeling of the effect of Al 2 O 3 interlayer on residual stress due to oxide scale in thermal barrier coatings显示文摘Andi M Limarga Sujanto Widjaja Tick Hon Yip Lay Kuan Teh 2002Surface & Coatings Technology2002,,1:1
10Modeling of the effect of Al2O3 interlayer on residual stress due to oxide scale in thermal barrier coatings显示文摘Andi M Limarga Sujanto Widjaja Tick Hon Yip 2002Surface and Coatings Technology2002,153,:1
11Pathologic features of renal cortical tumors 显示文摘Tick oo SK Gopalan A 2008UrolClinNorthAm2008,35,4:1
12Water durable glasses with ultra low melting temperature显示文摘Tick P A 1984Physics and Chemistry of Glasses1984,25,6:1
13Transparent glass ceramics for 1 300 nm amplifier applications 显示文摘TICK P A BORRELLI N F CORNELIUS L K NEWHOUSE M A 1995Journal of Applied Physics Letters1995,78,11:1
14Are low-loss glass-ceramic optical waveguides possible显示文摘Tick P A 1998Optics Letters1998,23,24:1
15The relationship be- tween structure and transparency in glass-ceramic mate- rials显示文摘Tick P A Borrelli N F Reaney I M 2000Optical Materials2000,5,1:1
16Efficient neodymium- doped glass-ceramic fiber laser and amplifier显示文摘Samson B N Tick P A Borrelli N F 2001Optics Letters2001,26,3:1
17Modeling of Residual Stresses in a Plasma-sprayed Zirconia/Alumina FunctionallyGraded-Thermal Barrier Coating 显示文摘SUJANTO W ANDI M L TICK H Y 2003Thin Solid Films2003,434,12:1
18Modeling of residual stresses in a plasma-sprayed zirconia/alumina functionally graded-thermal barrier coating显示文摘WIDJAJA SUJANTO LIMARGA ANDI M YIP TICK HON 2003Thin Solid Films2003,434,:1
19The natural course of he- modynamically stable pulmonary embolism: Clinical outcome and risk factors in a large prospective cohort study显示文摘Nijkeuter M Sohne M Tick LW 2007Chest2007,131,2:1
20High-resolution spectral domain optical coherence tomography features in adult onset foveomacularvitelliform dystrophy显示文摘Puche N Querques G Benhamou N Tick S Mimoun G Martinelli D et ai 2010Br J Ophthalrrwl2010,94,9:1
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