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1Trade-offs between ecosystem service provision and the predisposition to disturbances: a NFI-based scenario analysis显示文摘Background: Scenario analyses that evaluate management effects on the long-term provision and sustainability of forest ecosystem services and biodiversity(ESB) also need to account for disturbances. The objectives of this study were to reveal potential trade-offs and synergies between ESB provision and disturbance predisposition at the scale of a whole country.Methods: The empirical scenario model MASSIMO was used to simulate forest development and management from years 2016 to 2106 on 5086 sample plots of the Swiss National Forest Inventory(NFI). We included a businessas-usual(BAU) scenario and four scenarios of increased timber harvesting. Model output was evaluated with indicators for 1) ESB provision including a) timber production, b) old-growth forest characteristics as biodiversity proxies and c) protection against rockfall and avalanches and 2) for a) storm and b) bark beetle predisposition.Results: The predisposition indicators corresponded well(AUC: 0.71–0.86) to storm and insect(mostly bark beetle)damage observations in logistic regression models. Increased timber production was generally accompanied with decreased predisposition(storm: >-11%, beetle: >-37%, depending on region and scenario), except for a scenario that promoted conifers where beetle predisposition increased(e.g. + 61% in the Southern Alps). Decreased disturbance predisposition and decreases in old-growth forest indicators in scenarios of increased timber production revealed a trade-off situation. In contrast, growing stock increased under BAU management along with a reduction in conifer proportions, resulting in a reduction of beetle predisposition that in turn was accompanied by increasing old-growth forest indicators. Disturbance predisposition was elevated in NFI plots with high avalanche and rockfall protection value.Conclusions: By evaluating ESB and disturbance predisposition based on single-tree data at a national scale we bridged a gap between detailed, stand-scale assessments and broader inventory-based approaches at the national scale. We discuss the limitations of the indicator framework and advocate for future amendments that include climate-sensitive forest development and disturbance modelling to strengthen decision making in national forest policy making.Christian Temperli Clemens Blattert Golo Stadelmann Urs-Beat Brändli Esther Thürig 2020Forest Ecosystems2020,7,3:2
2Diabetes specialist nurses and role evolvement:A survey by diabetes UK and ABCD of specialist diabetes services 2007显示文摘James J Winocour P Holt RIG 0,,:1
3Degradation of ochratoxin A by Aspergillus species显示文摘Varga J Rigó K Téren J 0,,:1
4Magnetization transfer:theory and clinical applications in neuroradiology显示文摘Rossman RIG Gomori JM Ramer KN 1994Radiographics1994,14,2:1
5Light-dependent induction of proline biosynthesis by abscisic acid and salt stress is inhibited by brassinosteroid in Arabidopsis显示文摘Edit ábrahám Gábor Rigó Gy?ngyi Székely Réka Nagy Csaba Koncz László Szabados 2003Plant Molecular Biology2003,,3:1
6The use of insulin analogues in pregnancy显示文摘Lambert K Holt RIG 2013Diabetes Obes Metab2013,15,10:1
7Diversity of vegeta- tive compatibility types and mating types of Cryphonectria parasitica in Slovenia and occurrence of associated Cryphonectria hypovirus 1显示文摘Krstin L Novak-Agbaba S Rig ling D 2011Plant Pathology2011,60,4:1
8Physiological signifi-cance of the alcohol dehydrogenase polymorphism in larvae of Dro-sophila显示文摘Heinstra P W H Scharloo W Thrig G E W 1987Genetics1987,117,1:1
9Continuous monitoring of arterial pressure indicates sinoaordc denervated rats are not hypertensive显示文摘Norman RA Jr Coleman riG Dent AC 1981Hypemmion1981,3,1:1
10Increased serum heat-shock protein 70 levels reflect systemic inflammation,oxidative stress and hepatocellular injury in preeclampsia显示文摘Molvarec A Rigó J Jr Lázár L 2009Cell Stress Chaperones2009,14,2:1
11Cryptococcosis in the era of AIDS100 years after the discovery of cryptococcus neoformans 显示文摘Mitchell riG Peryect JR 1995Clin Microbiol Rev1995,8,4:1
12The first total synthesis of Cicerfuran utilizing a one-pot synthesis of hydroxylated benzofurans显示文摘NOV A K Z A N TIM A RIG E Z KOTSCHY A A S 2003Tetrahedron2003,59,38:1
13Lasers in neurosurgery:a historical overview 显示文摘Stellar S Polanyi riG 1992J Clin Laser Med Surg1992,10,6:1
14Surgical debridement of cranio- cervical necrotizing fasciitis: the window of opportunity显示文摘Hanna BC Delap riG Scott K 2006J Laryngol Otol2006,120,:1
15Variants of Toll-like receptor 4 modify the efficacy of statin therapy and the risk of cardlovascular events 显示文摘Boekholdt SM Agema WRP Peters RIG 2003Circulation2003,107,19:1
16Topotecan as a continuous infusion over 14 days in recurrent ovarian cancer patients显示文摘 Watermann D H(o)rig K 2004Anticancer Res2004,24,2:1
17In te r n a tio n a l c o lla b o ra tio nin m e d ic a l r e s e a r c h in L a tin A m e ric a a n d th eC a r ib b e a n ( 2003-2007 ) 显示文摘C h in c h illa -R o d rig u e z Z B e n a v e n t-P e re z M M o y a -A n e g o n F e t a l 2012J o u r n a l o f th e A me r ic a n S o c ie ty fo r In fo rm a tio n S c ie n c e a n dT e c h n o lo g y2012,63,11:1
18A novel coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome 显示文摘Ksiazek riG Erdman D Goldsmith CS 2003N Engl J Med2003,348,:1
19Tumor Necrosis Factor- Alpha Acutely Inhibits Insulin Signalling in Human Adipocytes: Implication of the p80 Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor 显示文摘Liu L S Spelleken M Rig K 1998Diabetes1998,47,:1
20A novel nonobese diabetic/severe combined immunodeficient xenograft model for chronic lym-phocytic leukemia reflects important clinical characteristics of thedisease显示文摘Dürig J Ebeling P Grabellus F 2007Cancer Res2007,67,18:1
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