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| 1 | Ecology and evolution of the flu显示文摘 | Earn D J D Dushoff J Levin S A | 2002 | Trends Ecol Evol2002，17，7： | 1 |
| 2 | A non-negative matrix factorization framework for identifying modular patterns in metagenomic profile data显示文摘 | Xingpeng Jiang Joshua S. Weitz Jonathan Dushoff | 2012 | Journal of Mathematical Biology2012，，4： | 1 |
| 3 | Agricultural intensification, priming for persistence and the emergence of Nipah virus: a lethal bat-borne zoonosis 显示文摘 | Pulliam J R Epstein J H Dushoff J | 2012 | J R Soc Interface2012，9，66： | 1 |
| 4 | Backwards bifurcations and catastrophe in simple models of fatal diseases显示文摘 | Jonathan Dushoff Wenzhang Huang Carlos Castillo-Chavez | 1998 | Journal of Mathematical Biology1998，，3： | 1 |
| 5 | Ecology and evoluation of the flu显示文摘 | Earn D J Dushoff J Levin S A | 2002 | Trends Ecol Evolut2002，17，7： | 1 |
| 6 | Dynamical resonance can ac- count for seasonality of influenza epidemics 显示文摘 | I Dushoff J Plotkin JB Levin SA | 2004 | PNAS2004，101，16： | 1 |
| 7 | Ecology and evaluation of the flu显示文摘 | Earn D J Dushoff J Levin S A | 2002 | Trends in Ecology and Evolution2002，17，7： | 1 |
| 8 | Phenotypic diversity and ecosystem functioning in changing environments:A theoretical framework显示文摘 | Norberg J Swaney D P Dushoff J | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 9 | Ecology and evoluation of the flu显示文摘 | EARN D J DUSHOFF J LEVIN S A | 2002 | Trends in Ecology& Evolution2002，17，7： | 1 |
| 10 | Hemagglutinin sequence clusters and the antigenic evolution of influenza A virus 显示文摘 | Plotkin JB Dushoff J Levin SA | 2002 | Proc Natl Aead Sci USA2002，99，： | 1 |
| 11 | Hemagglutinin sequence clusters and the antigenic evolution of influenza A virus 显示文摘 | PLOTKIN J B DUSHOFF J LEVIN S A | 2002 | Proc Natl Acad Sci USA2002，99，： | 1 |
| 12 | Dynamical resonance can ac- count for seasonality of influenza epidemics 显示文摘 | Dushoff J Plotkin JB Levin SA | 2004 | PNAS2004，101，16： | 1 |
| 13 | Backwards bifurcations and catastrophe in simple models of fatal diseases显示文摘 | Dushoff J Huang W Castillo-Chavez C | 1998 | Journal of mathematical biology1998，36，3： | 1 |
| 14 | Relatedness of the incidence decay with exponential adjustment(IDEA)model,“Farr's law”and SIR compartmental difference equation models显示文摘Mathematical models are often regarded as recent innovations in the description and analysis of infectious disease outbreaks and epidemics,but simple mathematical expressions have been in use for projection of epidemic trajectories for more than a century.We recently introduced a single equation model(the incidence decay with exponential adjustment,or IDEA model)that can be used for short-term epidemiological forecasting.In the mid-19th century,Dr.William Farr made the observation that epidemic events rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern that can be approximated by a bell-shaped curve.He noticed that this time-evolution behavior could be captured by a single mathematical formula(“Farr's law”)that could be used for epidemic forecasting.We show here that the IDEA model follows Farr's law,and show that for intuitive assumptions,Farr's Law can be derived from the IDEA model.Moreover,we show that both mathematical approaches,Farr's Law and the IDEA model,resemble solutions of a susceptible-infectious-removed(SIR)compartmental differential-equation model in an asymptotic limit,where the changes of disease transmission respond to control measures,and not only to the depletion of susceptible individuals.This suggests that the concept of the reproduction number eR 0T was implicitly captured in Farr's(pre-microbial era)work,and also suggests that control of epidemics,whether via behavior change or intervention,is as integral to the natural history of epidemics as is the dynamics of disease transmission. | Mauricio Santillana Ashleigh Tuite Tahmina Nasserie Paul Fine David Champredon Leonid Chindelevitch Jonathan Dushoff David Fisman | 2018 | Infectious Disease Modelling2018，3，1： | 1 |
| 15 | Backwards bifurcations and catastrophe in simple models of fatal diseases显示文摘 | Huang W Castillo-Chavez C | 1998 | J Math Biol1998，36，3： | 1 |
| 16 | Ecology and evoluation of the flu显示文摘 | Dushoff J Levin S A | 2002 | Trends in Ecology & Evolution2002，17，7： | 1 |
| 17 | Hemagglutinin sequence clus ters and the antigenic evolution of influenza A virus显示文摘 | Plotkin JB Dushoff J Levin SA | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 18 | Backwards bifurcations and catastrophe in simple models of fatal diseases显示文摘 | Jonathan Dushoff Wenzhang Huang Carlos Castillo-Chavez | 1998 | Journal of Mathematical Biology1998，，3： | 1 |
| 19 | Backwards bifurcations and catastrophe in simple models of fatal diseases显示文摘 | Dushoff J Huang W Castillo- Chavez C | 1998 | J Math Biol1998，，3： | 1 |
| 20 | Line intersect sampling of forest canopy gaps显示文摘 | BATTLES J J DUSHOFF J G FAHEY T J | | 0，，02： | 1 |
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