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2篇 您的检索式:作者名="Taha Kayed"
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1Impact of referral pattern and timing of repair on surgical outcome after reconstruction of post-cholecystectomy bile duct injury:A multicenter study显示文摘Background:Bile duct injury(BDI)after cholecystectomy remains a significant surgical challenge.No guideline exists to guide the timing of repair,while few studies compare early versus late repair BDI.This study aimed to analyze the outcomes in patients undergoing immediate,intermediate,and delayed repair of BDI.Methods:We retrospectively analyzed 412 patients with BDI from March 2015 to January 2020.The patients were divided into three groups based on the time of BDI reconstruction.Group 1 underwent an immediate reconstruction(within the first 72 hours post-cholecystectomy,n=156);group 2 underwent an intermediate reconstruction(from 4 days to 6 weeks post-cholecystectomy,n=75),and group 3 underwent delayed reconstruction(after 6 weeks post-cholecystectomy,n=181).Results:Patients in group 2 had significantly more early complications including anastomotic leakage and intra-abdominal collection and late complications including anastomotic stricture and secondary liver cirrhosis compared with groups 1 and 3.Favorable outcome was observed in 111(71.2%)patients in group 1,31(41.3%)patients in group 2,and 157(86.7%)patients in group 3(P=0.0001).Multivariate analysis identified that complete ligation of the bile duct,level E1 BDI and the use of external stent were independent factors of favorable outcome in group 1,the use of external stent was an independent factor of favorable outcome in group 2,and level E4 BDI was an independent factor of unfavorable outcome in group 3.Transected BDI and level E4 BDI were independent factors of unfavorable outcome.Conclusions:Favorable outcomes were more frequently observed in the immediate and delayed reconstruction of post-cholecystectomy BDI.Complete ligation of the bile duct,level E1 BDI and the use of external stent were independent factors of a favorable outcome.Ayman El Nakeeb Ahmad Sultan Helmy Ezzat Mohamed Attia Mohamed Abd ElWahab Taha Kayed Ayman Hassanen Ahmad AlMalki Ahmed Alqarni Mohammed M Mohammed 2021Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International2021,20,1:4
2A Hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization to Forecast Implied Volatility Risk显示文摘The application of optimization methods to prediction issues is a continually exploring field.In line with this,this paper investigates the connectedness between the infected cases of COVID-19 and US fear index from a forecasting perspective.The complex characteristics of implied volatility risk index such as non-linearity structure,time-varying and nonstationarity motivate us to apply a nonlinear polynomial Hammerstein model with known structure and unknown parameters.We use the Hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization(HPSO)tool to identify the model parameters of nonlinear polynomial Hammerstein model.Findings indicate that,following a nonlinear polynomial behaviour cascaded to an autoregressive with exogenous input(ARX)behaviour,the fear index in US financial market is significantly affected by COVID-19-infected cases in the US,COVID-19-infected cases in the world and COVID-19-infected cases in China,respectively.Statistical performance indicators provided by the developed models show that COVID-19-infected cases in the US are particularly powerful in predicting the Cboe volatility index compared to COVID-19-infected cases in the world and China(MAPE(2.1013%);R2(91.78%)and RMSE(0.6363 percentage points)).The proposed approaches have also shown good convergence characteristics and accurate fits of the data.Kais Tissaoui Sahbi Boubaker Waleed Saud Alghassab Taha Zaghdoudi Jamel Azibi 2022Computers, Materials & Continua2022,,11:0
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