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| 1 | Performance and uncertainty analysis of a short-term climate reconstruction based on multi-source data in the Tianshan Mountains region,China显示文摘Short-term climate reconstruction,i.e.,the reproduction of short-term(several decades)historical climatic time series based on the relationship between observed data and available longer-term reference data in a certain area,can extend the length of climatic time series and offset the shortage of observations.This can be used to assess regional climate change over a much longer time scale.Based on monthly grid climate data from a Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5(CMIP5)dataset for the period of 1850–2000,the Climatic Research Unit(CRU)dataset for the period of 1901–2000 and the observed data from 53 meteorological stations located in the Tianshan Mountains region(TMR)of China during the period of 1961–2011,we calibrated and validated monthly average temperature(MAT)and monthly accumulated precipitation(MAP)in the TMR using the delta,physical scaling(SP)and artificial neural network(ANN)methods.Performance and uncertainty during the calibration(1971–1999)and verification(1961–1970)periods were assessed and compared using traditional performance indices and a revised set pair analysis(RSPA)method.The calibration and verification processes were subjected to various sources of uncertainty due to the influence of different reconstructed variables,different data sources,and/or different methods used.According to traditional performance indices,both the CRU and CMIP5 datasets resulted in satisfactory calibrated and verified MAT time series at 53 meteorological stations and MAP time series at 20 meteorological stations using the delta and SP methods for the period of 1961–1999.However,the results differed from those obtained by the RSPA method.This showed that the CRU dataset produced a low degree of uncertainty(positive connection degree)during the calibration and verification of MAT using the delta and SP methods compared to the CMIP5 dataset.Overall,the calibrated and verified MAP had a high degree of uncertainty(negative connection degree)regardless of the dataset or reconstruction method used.Therefore,the reconstructed time series of MAT for the period of 1850(or 1901)–1960 based on the CRU and CMIP5 datasets using the delta and SP methods could be used for further study.The results of this study will be useful for short-term(several decades)regional climate reconstruction and longer-term(100 a or more)assessments of regional climate change. | LI Xuemei Slobodan P SIMONOVIC LI Lanhai ZHANG Xueting QIN Qirui | 2020 | Journal of Arid Land2020，12，3： | 2 |
| 2 | Schrodinger's interpretation of quantum mechanics and the relevance of Bohr's experimental critique 显示文摘 | Slobodan P | 2006 | Studies in History and Philosophy of Modem Physics2006，，37： | 1 |
| 3 | Risk-based parameter selection for short-term reservoir operation显示文摘 | Slobodan P Simonovic Henry D Venema | 1992 | Journal of Hydrology1992，131，： | 1 |
| 4 | Optimization of water distribu- tion network design using differential evolution 显示文摘 | Vasan A Slobodan P S | 2010 | J Water Resour Planning Manage2010，136，2： | 1 |
| 5 | A novel,rapid assay for detection and differentiation of serotype-c antibodies to Venezuelane quine encephalitis complex alphaviruses显示文摘 | Eryu W Slobodan P Patricia V | | 0，，06： | 1 |
| 6 | World water dynamics:Global modeling of water resources显示文摘 | Slobodan P S | 2002 | Journal of Environmental Management2002，66，： | 1 |
| 7 | World water dynamics: Global modeling of water resources 显示文摘 | Slobodan P Simonovic | 2002 | Journal of Environmental Manage- ment2002，66，： | 1 |
| 8 | World water dynamics: global modeling of water resources显示文摘 | Slobodan P S | 2002 | Journal of Environmental Management2002，66，： | 1 |
| 9 | Simonovic. World water dynamics:global modeling of water resources显示文摘 | Slobodan P | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 10 | Development of a portable fiber-optic current sensor for power systems monitoring显示文摘 | PEDJA M SLOBODAN P ZLATAN S | 2004 | IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement2004，53，1： | 1 |
| 11 | An Intelligent Decision Support System for Management of Floods 显示文摘 | Sajjad Ahmad Slobodan P Simonovic | 2006 | Water Resources Management2006，20，3： | 1 |
| 12 | 查看详情显示文摘 | Slobodan V J David J M Claudette N P | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 13 | Short term streamflow forecasting using artificial neural networks 显示文摘 | Cameron M Zealand Donald H Burn Slobodan P Simonovic | 1999 | Journal of Hydrology1999，，214： | 1 |
| 14 | Signless Laplacians of finite graphs显示文摘 | CVETKOVIC D ROWLINSON P SLOBODAN K S | 2007 | Linear Algebra Appl2007，423，： | 1 |
| 15 | Study on the pho- tocatalytic degradation of insecticide methomyl in water 显示文摘 | Andjelka T Ern6 K Slobodan P Du-an M | 2010 | De- salination2010，262，： | 1 |
| 16 | Geochemical baseline map- ping and lead pollution assessment of soils on the Karst in western Croatia显示文摘 | Slobodan M Zoran P Dragan B | 2000 | Original Scientific Paper2000，9，1： | 1 |
| 17 | World water dynamics,global modeling of water resources显示文摘 | Slobodan P Simonovie | 2002 | Journal of Environmental Management2002，66，3： | 1 |
| 18 | Risk-based parameter selection for short-term reservoir operation显示文摘 | Slobodan P Simonovic Henry D Venema | 1992 | Journal of Hydrology1992，131，： | 1 |
| 19 | Simonovic Fuzzy Criteria for the Evaluation of Water Resource Systems Performance显示文摘 | Ibrahim El-Baroudy Slobodan P | 2004 | Water resources research2004，40，： | 1 |
| 20 | Specific circular organization of the neurons of human interthalamic adhesion and of periventricular thalamic region 显示文摘 | Laslo P Slobodan M Nela P | 2005 | Int J Neurosci2005，115，5： | 1 |
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