| 2 | 强震观测能用来约束概率地震危险性估计吗?显示文摘由于新规定要求危险性估计必须使用概率术语,进行概率危险性研究的数量最近一直在增加。本研究旨在确定根据这些研究和观测进行比较预测的可能性和范围。直接根据地面运动发生率的比较检验比地震发生率更受青睐。根据泊松过程的特性,计算和评估了能确保场点发生率估计可靠的最小时间窗。例如,对于场点复发期为475年的地面运动,要求用来估计地面运动发生率的最小观测时间窗为12000年,且不确定性为20%(变异系数:标准差除以平均值)。这些值不取决于所研究地区的地震活动性水平。对法国固定加速度计台网台站记录的地面运动进行的分析表明,对于很低的加速度水平(STET台站0.0001~0.001g),地面运动发生率估计的最高精确度为30%。在有更长记录历史和位于更高地震活动区(希腊和加利福尼亚州)的2个台站进行的同样分析,提供了可达0.1g的地面运动水平。因此,提出的问题是,即使使用的是对于广泛范围的加速度都一致有效的地面运动预测公式,基于低加速度水平的比较检验所得出的结果能推广到更高的加速度水平吗? | C.Beauval P.-Y.Bard S.Hainzl P.Guéguen 李晶 张天中 | 2008 | 世界地震译丛2008，39，6： | 0 |
| 3 | Robust design approach to the minimization of functional performance variations of products and systems显示文摘Functional performance variations of products and systems are often used to measure the qualities of products and systems considering the changes in the design parameter values caused by uncertainties.A robust design approach has been developed in this research to minimize the functional performance variations considering the design parameter uncertainties by identifying the boundaries of the functional performance variations through optimization.In this work,a mathematical model is developed to describe the relationships among functional performance,design configurations and parameters,and design parameter uncertainties.A multi-level optimization model is established to identify:(1)The optimal design configuration,(2)the optimal values of design parameters,and(3)the boundaries of functional performance variations.Sensitivity analysis considering the impact of parameter uncertainties on functional performance variation boundaries has also been conducted.A case study on the design of a truss system has been conducted.Case study results show that the sensitivities of functional performance variation boundaries to the design parameter uncertainties can be reduced significantly using the new robust design approach. | J.ZHANG H.DU D.XUE P.GU | 2021 | Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering2021，16，2： | 0 |
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