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2篇 您的检索式:作者名="Alexandra Smirnova"
    题名 作者 年代 出处 被引量
1A primer on stable parameter estimation and forecasting in epidemiology by a problem-oriented regularized least squares algorithm显示文摘Public health officials are increasingly recognizing the need to develop disease-forecasting systems to respond to epidemic and pandemic outbreaks.For instance,simple epidemic models relying on a small number of parameters can play an important role in characterizing epidemic growth and generating short-term epidemic forecasts.In the absence of reliable information about transmission mechanisms of emerging infectious diseases,phenomenological models are useful to characterize epidemic growth patterns without the need to explicitly model transmission mechanisms and the natural history of the disease.In this article,our goal is to discuss and illustrate the role of regularization methods for estimating parameters and generating disease forecasts using the generalized Richards model in the context of the 2014e15 Ebola epidemic in West Africa.Alexandra Smirnova Gerardo Chowell 2017Infectious Disease Modelling2017,2,2:2
2The Biologic Active Zones(BAZ) in the White,Greenland,and Labrabor Seas and Its Climatological Modification:Comparative Study by Using Satellite and In-situ Data显示文摘The authors of this work have made an attempt to research a habitat of three existing populations of Greenland seal and conditions of biologically active zones(BAZ) located,accordingly,in White, Greenland and Labrador seas.Greenland seal is an ice-associated sea mammal,and climate warming can be a decisive factor for its survival.Therefore the researches of changes of ice state parameters of subarctic water areas are an urgent problemSmirnova Alexandra Vladimir V.Melentyev 2009地学前缘2009,16,S1:0
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