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| 1 | MAKING AND VALIDATING COMPLEX DECISIONS WITH THE AHP/ANP显示文摘Several examples that serve to validate the AHP/ANP with matrices hierarchies and networks are given in this paper. They are then followed by a discussion of the real numbers and how they are generated without the need for an absolute zero, and how they define an absolute scale of measurement that also does not need an absolute zero. In the AHP/ANP the measurement of an alternative depends on what other alternatives it is compared with. The result is that rank can change if alternatives are added or deleted, something that does not occur in one-at-a-time rating of the alternatives by comparing them with an ideal. An example is provided to show that this is natural and need not involve new criteria or change in judgments. A brief discussion of Utility Theory, the other multi-criteria theory, which uses interval scales to measure intangibles and some of its problems and paradoxes, is given. The references at the end include most of the papers that are adverse to the AHP with brief comments about several of them given in the paper. | Thomas L. SAATY | 2005 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2005，14，1： | 41 |
| 2 | LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION PLANNING UNDER ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES显示文摘In this paper we demonstrate the need for risk-adjusted approaches to planning expansion of livestock production. In particular, we illustrate that under exposure to risk, a portfolio of producers is needed where more efficient producers co-exist and cooperate with less efficient ones given that the latter are associated with lower, uncorrelated or even negatively correlated contingencies. This raises important issues of cooperation and risk sharing among diverse producers. For large-scale practical allocation problems when information on the contingencies may be disperse, not analytically tractable, or be available on aggregate levels, we propose a downscaling procedure based on behavioral principles utilizing spatial risk preference structure. It allows for estimation of production allocation at required resolutions accounting for location specific risks and suitability constraints. The approach provides a tool for harmonization of data from various spatial levels. We applied the method in a case study of livestock production allocation in China to 2030. | Günther FISCHER Tatiana ERMOLIEVA Yuri ERMOLIEV Harrij van VELTHUIZEN | 2006 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2006，15，4： | 31 |
| 3 | BIG DATA:UNLEASHING INFORMATION显示文摘At present,it is projected that about 4 zettabytes(or 10**21 bytes)of digital data are being generated per year by everything from underground physics experiments to retail transactions to security cameras to global positioning systems.In the U.S.,major research programs are being funded to deal with big data in all five sectors(i.e.,services,manufacturing,construction,agriculture and mining)of the economy.Big Data is a term applied to data sets whose size is beyond the ability of available tools to undertake their acquisition,access,analytics and/or application in a reasonable amount of time.Whereas Tien(2003)forewarned about the data rich,information poor(DRIP)problems that have been pervasive since the advent of large-scale data collections or warehouses,the DRIP conundrum has been somewhat mitigated by the Big Data approach which has unleashed information in a manner that can support informed-yet,not necessarily defensible or valid-decisions or choices.Thus,by somewhat overcoming data quality issues with data quantity,data access restrictions with on-demand cloud computing,causative analysis with correlative data analytics,and model-driven with evidence-driven applications,appropriate actions can be undertaken with the obtained information.New acquisition,access,analytics and application technologies are being developed to further Big Data as it is being employed to help resolve the 14 grand challenges(identified by the National Academy of Engineering in 2008),underpin the 10 breakthrough technologies(compiled by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 2013)and support the Third Industrial Revolution of mass customization. | James M.TIEN | 2013 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2013，22，2： | 34 |
| 4 | CONFLICT ANALYSIS APPROACHES FOR INVESTIGATING ATTITUDES AND MISPERCEPTIONS IN THE WAR OF 1812显示文摘设计途径到为错误感觉和态度建模的正式系统在图模型的框架以内被采用让冲突分辨率系统地学习在美国和大 Britainin 顺序之间的 1812 的战争提供提高的卓见进战争的原因。更明确地,为偏爱,运动和稳定性概念的关系定义为描述态度被定义并且联系了涉及冲突的决定制造者的行为。到在 1812 的战争的决定制造者的俘获错误感觉,态度在一场亢奋的比赛的结构以内被学习。在图模型的范例以内的 Combiningattitudes 和错误感觉供应证明由英国和美国的态度的那误解可能贡献了这不干净的战争的爆发的灵活分析工具。 | Takehiro INOHARA Keith W. HIPEL Sean WALKER | 2007 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2007，16，2： | 29 |
| 5 | Heavy metal pollution and potential ecological risk in reclaimed soils in Huainan mining area显示文摘In order to determine the environmental quality condition of reclaimed soils inHuainan mining area, soil samples were collected from three representative mines, suchas Panyi Mine, Xinzhuangzi Mine and Datong Mine.The total concentration of Cd, Hg, Cu,Pb and As in the samples were analyzed.The potential ecological risk was used to evaluatethe heavy metals pollution.The investigation reveals that the reclaimed soils are contaminatedto a certain degree and the trace elements in coal gangue transferred to thesurface soil.The order of potential ecological risk is Cd>Hg>Cu>Pb>As; the pollution degreeof each sampling site is arranged in the following order: Xinzhuangzi Mine>DatongMine>Panyi Mine, and the multiform of heavy metals of potential ecological risk index is at357.35~484.62. | YAO Duo-xi MENG Jun ZHANG Zhi-guo | 2010 | Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)2010，16，3： | 27 |
| 6 | THERE IS NO MATHEMATICAL VALIDITY FOR USING FUZZY NUMBER CRUNCHING IN THE ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS显示文摘Fuzzy logic has difficulty producing valid answers in decision-making. Absent are theorems to prove that it works to produce results already known that are being estimated with judgments by transforming such judgments numerically. The numerical representation of judgments in the AHP is already fuzzy. Making fuzzy judgments more fuzzy does not lead to a better more valid outcome and it often leads to a worse one. The compatibility index of the AHP is used to illustrate how the answers obtained by fuzzifying AHP judgments do not produce better results than direct derivation of the principal eigenvector. Other authors who did experiments with given data in decision making quoted in the conclusions section of the paper, have observed that fuzzy sets gives the poorest answers among all methods used to derive best decisions. | Thomas L. SAATY | 2006 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2006，15，4： | 23 |
| 7 | Simulation on dissolute and dust dispersion in comprehensive mechanized heading face with forced-exhaust ventilation显示文摘 | NIE Wen CHENG Wei-min HAN Li ZHOU Sheng-ju YU Yan-bin ZHAO Shan-shan | 2011 | Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)2011，17，3： | 21 |
| 8 | COMPARISONS OF LOW CARBON POLICIES IN SUPPLY CHAIN COORDINATION显示文摘This paper investigates the influence of low-carbon policies on channel coordination for a two-echelon supply chain consisting of one supplier and one retailer.Four different models are considered:the basic model,the carbon emission model,the carbon emission trading model and the carbon tax model.We find that the government policy on all carbon emission models is not universal among the firms as well as the customers.The carbon emission trading policy is always better than the carbon emission policy and the carbon tax policy when the allocated carbon emission quotas are greater than the carbon emissions.The carbon emission trading policy is proved to be an effective mechanism which can motivate the supply chain to reduce carbon emissions.Under certain conditions,the supply chain prefers the carbon emission trading policy with higher carbon price to other policies.In the framework of Stackelberg game with the supplier as the leader,for each carbon policy,the paper presents coordination mechanism with the all-unit wholesale quantity discount contract(AWQD).We analyze and compare the influence of low-carbon policies on channel coordination for the four low-carbon policies.Numerical experiments are conducted to examine our findings. | Lei YANG Chenshi ZHENG Minghui XU | 2014 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2014，23，3： | 20 |
| 9 | THE M/M/1 QUEUE WITH WORKING VACATIONS AND VACATION INTERRUPTIONS显示文摘在这篇论文,我们与工作假期和假期打断学习 M/M/1 队列。工作假期最近被介绍,在哪个期间服务者能仍然以更低的率在原来的进行中的工作上提供服务。同时,我们介绍一个新 policy:the 服务器罐头一旦系统的一些索引例如顾客的数字,在假期时期完成某个值,从假期回到正常工作水平。没有完成假期,服务者可以从假期回来。如此的政策被称为假期打断。我们连接提及的上面二条政策并且假设如果在假期时期期间在在服务结束以后的系统有顾客,服务器将回到正常工作水平,嗨伪出生和死亡过程和矩阵几何的解决方案方法称为,我们为顾客和等待的时间的数字获得分布和随机的分解结构并且提供系统的一些索引。 | Jihong LI Naishuo TIAN | 2007 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2007，16，1： | 17 |
| 10 | AN ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS MODEL OF GROUP CONSENSUS显示文摘In group decision making,a certain degree of consensus is necessary to derive a meaningful and valid outcome.This paper proposes a consensus reaching model for a group by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP).It supports people to improve their group consensus level through an updating of their judgments.In this model,a moderator suggests the most discordant decision maker to update his judgment in each step.The proposed consensus reaching model allows decision makers to accept or reject the suggestion from the moderator.This model ensures that the judgment updating is effective and the final solution will be of acceptable consistency.Finally,a numerical example is given to illustrate the validity of the proposed consensus reaching model. | Qingxing DONG Thomas L.SAATY | 2014 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2014，23，3： | 17 |
| 11 | ORDERED WEIGHTED DISTANCE MEASURE显示文摘The aim of this paper is to develop an ordered weighted distance(OWD) measure,which is the generalization of some widely used distance measures,including the normalized Hamming distance, the normalized Euclidean distance,the normalized geometric distance,the max distance,the median distance and the min distance,etc.Moreover,the ordered weighted averaging operator,the generalized ordered weighted aggregation operator,the ordered weighted geometric operator,the averaging operator,the geometric mean operator,the ordered weighted square root operator,the square root operator,the max operator,the median operator and the min operator are also the special cases of the OWD measure.Some methods depending on the input arguments are given to determine the weights associated with the OWD measure.The prominent characteristic of the OWD measure is that it can relieve(or intensify) the influence of unduly large or unduly small deviations on the aggregation results by assigning them low(or high) weights.This desirable characteristic makes the OWD measure very suitable to be used in many actual fields,including group decision making,medical diagnosis, data mining,and pattern recognition,etc.Finally,based on the OWD measure,we develop a group decision making approach,and illustrate it with a numerical example. | Zeshui XU Jian CHEN | 2008 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2008，17，4： | 16 |
| 12 | THE NEXT INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION:INTEGRATED SERVICES AND GOODS显示文摘经济的产量或产品能被划分成服务产品和商品产品(由于生产,构造,农业和采矿) 。迄今为止,通常,服务和商品产品是独立集体的生产。与分别地集中了于发展和商品的大量生产的第一和第二条工业革命相对照,然而,下一个或第三条工业革命集中于服务或商品的集成;它在第 21 世纪的这第二十年正在开始。第三条工业革命(TIR ) 基于三主要工艺的 enablers 的融合(即,大数据分析学,适应服务并且数字生产) ;他们支撑集成或服务或商品的集体定制。是在一份更早的报纸详细说明了,我们认为集体定制是供应和需求链的同时、即时的管理,基于一个分类,那能以它的 underpinning 部件和管理 foci 被定义。即时集体定制的好处不能作为商品被说大话,服务变得难区分,导致压到优势的经济并且作为 servgoods 在是 co-produced 消费顾客的工业化国家的即时优点同时 co-producing 制片人。 | James M.TIEN | 2012 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2012，21，3： | 16 |
| 13 | Common Persistence and Error-Correction Mode in Conditional Variance显示文摘We firstly define the persistence and common persistence of vector GARCH process from the point of view of the integration, and then discuss the sufficient and necessary condition of the copersistence in variance. In the end of this paper, we give the properties and the error correction model of vector GARCH process under the condition of the co-persistence. | LI Han-dong, ZHANG Shi-ying School of Management, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China | 2001 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2001，13，3： | 15 |
| 14 | TWO-STAGE PRODUCTION SCHEDULING WITH AN OPTION OF OUTSOURCING FROM A REMOTE SUPPLIER显示文摘这篇论文与每个工作需要二顺序的操作的 n 工作订单学习一个二阶段的生产系统。除了二台内部生产设备,制造商有采购一些阶段一个操作到一个遥远的外面的供应商的另一种选择。有他们采购的阶段一个操作的工作在他们的各自的阶段前从外面的供应商服从于批交通延期 -- 二操作能内部地被开始。问题是设计考虑内部生产并且与最佳地平衡采购费用和 makes 平底锅的目的采购的一张综合时间表。这个问题是 NP 难的。我们开发了一个最佳的算法和一个启发式的算法解决这个问题,并且进行了计算实验验证我们的模型和算法。我们建模和算法框架能被扩大处理外面的供应商什么时候并且什么时候与不同处理效率有一台生产设备的另外的更一般的盒子在一个点市场上的供应商外面有许多。 | Xiangtong QI | 2009 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2009，18，1： | 15 |
| 15 | MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES:FROM MASS PRODUCTION TO MASS CUSTOMIZATION显示文摘Manufacturing and services constitute two of the five sectors of every country's economy;depending on the maturity of the economy,they are-in terms of employment-typically the two largest sectors.The outputs or products of an economy can also be divided into goods products(due to manufacturing,construction,agriculture and mining) and services products.To date,the goods and services products have,for the most part,been mass produced;it is the premise of this paper that recent technological advances-including flexible manufacturing,cloud computing,nanotechnology and smart sensing-can better enable the transformation from mass production to mass customization.We regard mass customization as the simultaneous and real time management of supply and demand chains,based on a taxonomy that can be defined in terms of its underpinning component and management foci.From a components perspective,we first consider the value chain of supplier,manufacturer,assembler,retailer,and customer,and then develop a consistent set of definitions for supply and demand chains based on the location of the customer order penetration point.From a management perspective,we classify the methods that are employed in the management of these chains,based on whether supply and/or demand are flexible or fixed.Interestingly,our management taxonomy highlights a very critical research area at which both supply and demand are flexible,thus manageable.Simultaneous management of supply and demand chains sets the stage for mass customization which is concerned with meeting the needs of an individualized customer market.Simultaneous and real time management of supply and demand chains set the stage for real time mass customization(e.g.,wherein a tailor first laser scans an individual's upper torso and then delivers a uniquely fitted jacket within a reasonable period,while the individual is waiting).The benefits of real time mass customization cannot be over-stated as goods and services become indistinguishable and are co-produced-as 'servgoods'-in real time,resulting in an overwhelming economic advantage. | James M.TIEN | 2011 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2011，20，2： | 15 |
| 16 | INTERRELATIONSHIPS AMONG NONCOOPERATIVE AND COALITION STABILITY CONCEPTS显示文摘Insightful theorems are established on interrelationships among coalition and noncooperative stability concepts defined within the paradigm of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution.More specifically,the newly defined coalition stability definitions that are considered are coalition Nash stability(CNash),coalition general metarationality(CGMR),coalition symmetric metarationality (CSMR)and coalition sequential stability(CSEQ),along with their earlier-defined noncooperative versions.A range of interesting new theorems are derived to establish connections among these coalition stability concepts as well as between noncooperative and coalition stability definitions. Applications with respect to the games of Prisoner′s Dilemma and Chicken,as well as a groundwater contamination dispute,demonstrate how the various stability definitions can be applied in practice and confirm the validity of some of the theorems as well as point out,by example,certain types of relationships which cannot hold. | Takehiro INOHARA Keith W.HIPEL | 2008 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2008，17，1： | 13 |
| 17 | Research on coal structure indices to coal and gas outbursts in Pingdingshan Mine Area,China显示文摘According to the feature that coal and gas outbursts is controlled by coal structure in Pingdingshan mine area, based on the study of the distribution law of disturbed coal in Mine Area and the macroscopic characteristics of coal structure, the characteristics and genesis to micro-pore of disturbed coal, the relationship between the type of coal structure and gas parameter, and the structural feature of coal at outbursts sites are mainly explored in this paper. Further, the steps and methods are put forward that coal structure indices applied to forecast coal and gas outbursts. | 郭德勇 宋广太 库明欣 | 2002 | Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)2002，8，1： | 13 |
| 18 | Semigroup Method for a Mathematical Model in Reliability Analysis显示文摘The system which consists of a reliable machine, an unreliable machine and a storage buffer with infinite many workpieces has been studied. The existence of a unique positive time-dependent solution of the model corresponding to the system has been obtained by using C 0-semigroup theory of linear operators in functional analysis. | Geni Gupur 1,3 , LI Xue-zhi 2,3 1.Department of Mathematics, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046,China2. Department of Mathematics, Xinyang Teachers College, Henan 464000, China3. Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sci | 2001 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2001，13，2： | 12 |
| 19 | A PRICE-SETTING NEWSVENDOR MODEL UNDER CVAR DECISION CRITERION WITH EMERGENCY PROCUREMENT显示文摘In this paper,we consider a newsvendor model in which a risk-averse manager faces a stochastic price-dependent demand in either an additive or a multiplicative form.An emergency purchase option is allowed after the realization of demand to satisfy the units that are short.By adopting conditional value-at-risk(CVaR) as the decision criterion,we aim to investigate the optimal pricing and ordering decisions,and the effects of parameter changes in such a setting.We provide sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of the optimal policy for both demand models.We perform comparative statics analysis to show how the optimal pricing and ordering decision behaves when changing parameters.We also compare our results with those of the newsvendor with a general utility function and with CVaR criterion under lost sales assumption.Our key results include:(i) For both demand models,the optimal selling price is decreasing in risk aversion.Hence,the optimal price of a risk-averse newsvendor is not greater than the optimal price of a risk-neutral newsvendor.(ii) In contrary to the lost sales case,for the multiplicative demand model,the optimal order quantity may not be monotonic in risk aversion. Consequently,the optimal risk-averse order quantity may be lower or higher than the optimal risk-neutral counterpart.(iii) For the additive model,the optimal order quantity is strictly increasing in the emergency purchase price,while for the multiplicative model the optimal order quantity has no such a monotonic property.Some numerical examples are conducted to verify our claims and gain more insights about the risk-averse decision-making behaviors. | Minghui XU School of Economics and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China | 2010 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2010，19，1： | 12 |
| 20 | Field investigation into directional hydraulic fracturing for hard roof in Tashan Coal Mine显示文摘 | Bina-Xiana HUANG Bin YU Feng FENG Zhao LI You-Zhuang WANG Jin-Rong LIU | 2013 | Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)2013，19，2： | 12 |
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