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| 1 | 精细化地震海啸波流实时预警系统研究与应用显示文摘基于Okada模型和非线性浅水波模型,结合高精度多层嵌套网格针对我国浙江沿海的温州和台州地区建立了越洋–近海–局部的精细化地震海啸波流实时预警系统,近岸的分辨率为900 m。该预警系统包括了并行化的数值计算模块,基于Python 2D绘图库的计算结果可视化处理模块,以及通过Python语言将所有经过数值计算的图形与动画产品集成在一个网页上的产品集成模块。一旦地震发生,该系统可根据地震的震源参数信息在10 min内完成数值计算、可视化处理,以及产品集成。选取2011年日本东北9.0级地震海啸结合实测数值对该系统进行模拟验证,进一步应用该系统模拟计算了日本南海海槽和琉球海沟潜在极端海啸的影响规律。结果表明,该预警系统可有效地提高地震海啸实时预警的时效性和准确度,为海啸的预警、减灾,以及辅助决策提供科学依据。 | 任智源 侯京明 王培涛 李涛 原野 赵联大 | 2019 | 海洋学报2019，41，9： | 3 |
| 2 | Hazard analysis of tsunami disaster on the Maritime Silk Road显示文摘The Maritime Silk Road is not only a passageway for business and trade, but also the road of friendship between eastern and western civilizations. The Indian Ocean tsunami in 2004 caused major damage to several coastal countries. Tsunami occurrence regularity and hazard analysis are needed to ensure economic and cultural exchange on the Maritime Silk Road. To explore and identify tsunami hazard on the Maritime Silk Road, the spatial and temporal characteristics of historical tsunami events were given out. Some useful information hidden in historical tsunamis was searched from source parameters, such as seismic magnitude, focal depth and water depth. The tsunami possibility in the case of earthquake occurrence was also studied, exploring the probability of tsunami caused by different magnitudes. The analysis result shows that tsunamis on the Maritime Silk Road mainly occurred in 8 major tectonic faults, each of which has different tsunami occurrence regularity. On the basis of statistical analysis, a numerical model was used to simulate the potential tsunamis and show the tsunami hazard levels along the coast of Maritime Silk Road. The research results of this paper can help the tsunami early warning and ensure the safety of economic and cultural exchanges on the Maritime Silk Road. | Jingming Hou Xiaojuan Li Peitao Wang Juncheng Wang Zhiyuan Ren | 2020 | Acta Oceanologica Sinica2020，39，1： | 0 |
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