共被期刊论文引用了2次
您的检索式：您选中1篇文献正在查看引证文献汇总
|
|
|
题名
|
作者
|
年代
|
出处
|
被引量
|
| 1 | Multi-scale Incremental Analysis Update Scheme and Its Application to Typhoon Mangkhut(2018)Prediction显示文摘In the traditional incremental analysis update(IAU)process,all analysis increments are treated as constant forcing in a model’s prognostic equations over a certain time window.This approach effectively reduces high-frequency oscillations introduced by data assimilation.However,as different scales of increments have unique evolutionary speeds and life histories in a numerical model,the traditional IAU scheme cannot fully meet the requirements of short-term forecasting for the damping of high-frequency noise and may even cause systematic drifts.Therefore,a multi-scale IAU scheme is proposed in this paper.Analysis increments were divided into different scale parts using a spatial filtering technique.For each scale increment,the optimal relaxation time in the IAU scheme was determined by the skill of the forecasting results.Finally,different scales of analysis increments were added to the model integration during their optimal relaxation time.The multi-scale IAU scheme can effectively reduce the noise and further improve the balance between large-scale and small-scale increments in the model initialization stage.To evaluate its performance,several numerical experiments were conducted to simulate the path and intensity of Typhoon Mangkhut(2018)and showed that:(1)the multi-scale IAU scheme had an obvious effect on noise control at the initial stage of data assimilation;(2)the optimal relaxation time for large-scale and small-scale increments was estimated as 6 h and 3 h,respectively;(3)the forecast performance of the multi-scale IAU scheme in the prediction of Typhoon Mangkhut(2018)was better than that of the traditional IAU scheme.The results demonstrate the superiority of the multi-scale IAU scheme. | Yan GAO Jiali FENG Xin XIA Jian SUN Yulong MA Dongmei CHEN Qilin WAN | 2023 | Advances in Atmospheric Sciences2023，40，1： | 0 |
| 2 | IAU-Replay初始化方法在华南暖区暴雨模拟中的应用研究显示文摘基于TRAMS(Tropical Regional Atmospheric Model System)区域模式和ECMWF(European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting)全球分析场资料,对一次华南暖区暴雨过程进行IAU-Replay模拟试验。由于本次个例模拟试验的分析时刻ECMWF分析场和TRAMS模式正好处于比较协调的状态,直接使用全球分析场进行冷启动也不会激发虚假高频短波,因此IAU-Replay方法对于模拟结果的初始平衡性影响较小。从动力场和水物质场的对比可以发现,IAU-Replay方法通过提前启动模式有效避免了Spin-up过程的影响,这对于降水预报具有明显的改进效果。对IAU-Replay中不同预热时间的敏感性进行测试,发现当预热时间从6 h延长至12 h后模式可以更加合理地模拟出与对流系统中直接相关的中小尺度信息,从而使降水预报效果更接近实况。连续一周的预报结果评估进一步验证了IAU-Replay技术的有效性。 | 陈浩伟 徐道生 高翠翠 乐迁 刘涛 张邦林 | 2023 | 气象科学2023，43，5： | 0 |
您所在的机构暂未开通此部分的功能，请联系管理员