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| 1 | 地球系统模式FIO-ESM对北极海冰的模拟和预估显示文摘评估了地球系统模式FIO-ESM(First Institute of Oceanography-Earth System Model)基于CMIP5(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5)的历史实验对北极海冰的模拟能力,分析了该模式基于CMIP5未来情景实验在不同典型浓度路径(RCPs,Representative Concentration Pathways)下对北极海冰的预估情况。通过与卫星观测的海冰覆盖范围资料相比,该模式能够很好地模拟出多年平均海冰覆盖范围的季节变化特征,模拟的气候态月平均海冰覆盖范围均在卫星观测值±15%范围以内。FIO-ESM能够较好地模拟1979-2005年期间北极海冰的衰减趋势,模拟衰减速度为每年减少2.24×104 km2,但仍小于观测衰减速度(每年减少4.72×104 km2)。特别值得注意的是:不同于其他模式所预估的海冰一直衰减,FIO-ESM对21世纪北极海冰预估在不同情景下呈现不同的变化趋势,在RCP2.6和RCP4.5情景下,北极海冰总体呈增加趋势,在RCP6情景下,北极海冰基本维持不变,而在RCP8.5情景下,北极海冰呈现继续衰减趋势。 | 舒启 乔方利 宋振亚 | 2013 | 海洋学报2013，35，5： | 9 |
| 2 | 波致混合对CCSM3气候模式预测能力的改进显示文摘在海气耦合模式CCSM3基础上引入波致混合作用后建立了改进的海气耦合模式,设计了SST同化方案,并进行了2005,2006和2007年ENSO的集合后报和2008年气候预测数值试验.结果表明,改进的海气耦合模式的同化效果优于原来的海气耦合模式CCSM3的同化效果.集合后报与观测资料对比表明:改进的海气耦合模式能够较好地预测当年ENSO事件的发生情况,预报强度和成熟期特征与实际也较吻合,波致混合可以明显地提升气候模式的预测能力.在此基础上利用改进的海气耦合模式对2008年气候异常进行了集合预测,结果表明:始于2007年的LaNia事件将持续至2008年夏季,2008年ElNio事件出现概率很小;2008年夏季中国东南沿海、黄淮流域、东北东南部、新疆中南部以及青藏高原西部降水比往年偏多,局部可能出现洪涝,内蒙古西部、华南西南部以及青藏高原南部降水比往年偏少.我国沿海除两广地区和长江口附近地区外,均有不同程度的降水增加. | 宋振亚 乔方利 赵伟 | 2009 | 自然科学进展2009，19，2： | 6 |
| 3 | Effects of the surface wave-induced mixing on circulation in an isopycnal-coordinate oceanic circulation model显示文摘The influence of the nonbreaking surface wave-induced mixing under the mixed layer on the oceanic circulation was investigated using an isopycnal-coordinate oceanic circulation model. The effect of the wave-induced mixing within the mixed layer was eliminated via a bulk mixed layer model. The results show that the wave-induced mixing can penetrate through the mixed layer and into the oceanic interior. The wave-induced mixing under the mixed layer has an important effect on the distribution of temperature of the upper ocean at middle and high latitudes in summer, especially the structure of the seasonal thermocline. Moreover, the wave-induced mixing can affect the oceanic circulation, such as western boundary currents and the North Equatorial Currents through changes of sea surface height associated with the variation of the thermal structure of the upper ocean. | HUANG Chuanjiang QIAO Fangli WEI Zexun | 2013 | Acta Oceanologica Sinica2013，32，5： | 1 |
| 4 | Seasonal variation of the global mixed layer depth: comparison between Argo data and FIO-ESM显示文摘现在的学习评估全球海洋的模拟用海洋学地球系统模型(FIO-ESM ) 的第一个研究所的混合的层深度(MLD ) 。从 FIO-ESM 模拟的全球 MLD 的季节的变化与南船座观察数据相比。全球海洋 MLD 举办的南船座数据表演有在冬季的深 MLD 和在夏天的浅 MLD 的一个强壮的季节的变化,当春天和秋天季节充当过渡时期时。总的来说, FIO-ESM 模拟精确地在大多数区域在 MLD 捕获季节的变化。它比在冬季和春天期间在夏天和秋天期间展出更好的表演。在南部的半球的模仿的 MLD 在北半球比那离观察靠近得多。一般来说,在南方大西洋上的模仿的 MLD 在六个区域之中最好匹配观察。另外,模型稍微诺思大西洋部分地低估 MLD,并且稍微在另外的海洋盆上过高估计 MLD。 | Yutong ZHANG Haiming XU Fangli QIAO Changming DONG | 2018 | Frontiers of Earth Science2018，12，1： | 1 |
| 5 | Reducing the climate shift in a new coupled model显示文摘Climate drift refers to spurious long-term changes that may be inherent in coupled models when external forcing factors are fixed. Understanding the sources of this drift and tuning the drift are crucial for obtaining reasonable simulations from coupled models. To prepare for the upcoming Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, a new coupled model has been constructed based on the Community Earth System Model and the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG version 2. However, the surface temperature predicted by the new model is too underestimated, and this underestimation is caused by a type of climate drift, i.e., ‘‘initial shock.'' This study analyzes the source of the cold surface temperature from the perspective of energy balance and attempts to reduce the surface temperature drift by tuning the relative humidity threshold for low cloud. | Yanli Tang Lijuan Li Wenjie Dong Bin Wang | 2016 | Science Bulletin2016，61，6： | 0 |
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