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| 1 | 城市建筑能耗预测模型的国际研究与应用进展显示文摘总结城市建筑能耗分析的各种建模技术和模型节能预测方面的国际最新研究,包括城市建筑能耗模型的类型、技术方法的优势与局限,进一步总结、梳理相关文献,介绍如何根据不同研究目的选择适合模型的信息。结合国际经验讨论如何利用模型进行建筑能耗预测及节能性能评估和解决模型预测中的不确定性问题,并对未来的相关研究进行展望。 | 冷红 孙禹 白金 | 2015 | 建筑学报2015，，S1： | 5 |
| 2 | Scenario analysis for the energy demand and carbon emissions in low carbon city显示文摘This paper takes the climate change and low carbon economy development as the study background, based on the analysis of energy demand and carbon emissions status, which is aimed to provide the low carbon development path in Chinese cities. The method of scenario analysis can be used to predict long-term strategy for the uncertainty future development, and it was introduced to the field of social forecasting and public policy research, such as the environmental strategic planning, policy analysis, and support of decision in resource management, which can be used to explore the possible development trend and target of the results from the macro perspective. Scenario analysis has been gradually applied to the study area on low carbon economy, energy forecasting and other fields in recent years, and there have been many research results in different aspects. This paper takes the scenario analysis as basic study theory, spreading out the present situation of its application in low carbon city and some issues that need further study. As a tool for predicting the future development in low carbon city, the method of scenario analysis has been providing a powerful reference for policies and their executants. | ZHU Jing LIU Xue-min PANG Wei-hong | 2015 | Ecological Economy2015，8，2： | 3 |
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