|
|
|
题名
|
作者
|
年代
|
出处
|
被引量
|
| 1 | Contemporary crustal movement of continental China obtained by global positioning system(GPS) measurements显示文摘We obtain a unified horizontal velocity field of continental China and vicinity through measurements at 81 GPS stations provided by the National Key Infrastructure Project, Crustal Movement Observation Network of China. The velocity field delineates patterns of movements and deformation of active crustal blocks in continental China under the Eurasia-fixed reference frame. The space-based geodesy also clearly shows for the first time the horizontal movementand deformation of continental China induced by indentation of the Indian plate. The data provide kinematic constraints for simulating dynamic process of continental litho-spheric deformation. | MA Zongjin, CHEN Xinlian, YE Shuhua, LAI Xian, WEI Ziqing, CHEN Junrong, NING Jinsheng, XU Huoze & DING Guoyu1. Insitute of Geology, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100029, China (e-mail: disgroup@publi.bta.net.cn)2. Center for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, China 3. Shanghai Astronomic Observatory, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai 200030, China 4. Institute of Seismology, China Seismological Bureau, Wuhan 430077, China 5. Institute of Survey and Mapping, Xi’an 710054, China 6. National Bureau of Survey and Mapping, Beijing 100830, China 7. Wuhan University, Wuhan 430077, China 8. Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics, Wuhan 430077, China 9. China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, China | 2001 | Chinese Science Bulletin2001，46，18： | 34 |
| 2 | 邢台地震区地壳速度结构特征与强震孕育发生的关系显示文摘运用三维有限单元法,探索地壳结构的非均匀性对地壳应力场的影响.假定分层地壳结构中镶嵌高速块体,低速块体,高、低速块体3种情况,分别计算壳内平均应力与水平剪应力的变化图像.结果表明:高速块体单独存在可导致高应力在高速体内的局部集中,并在其边缘和四个角区形成应力的高度集中,有利于强震的孕育和发生;低速体单独存在时,由于低速体本身不能积累应力,而其上部的应力集中程度不大,难以形成强震;高、低速体的同时存在则有利于高应力在高速体内的高度集中和在高速体外的地壳上、下部的相对集中,形成对大地震孕育、发生更加有利的条件.本文结果与邢台地震序列的空间分布图像吻合甚好. | YIN JING-YUAN MEI SHI-RONG XUE YAN(Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB. Beijing 100036, China) | 1999 | 地球物理学报1999，42，5： | 33 |
| 3 | 中国北方岩溶含水介质研究显示文摘岩溶含水介质是决定岩溶水文地质系统功能的最基本要素,是水文地质工作者长期关注的问题之一。本文把碳酸盐岩岩石学的现代理论同岩溶学、洞穴学、构造地质学与水文地质学密切结合起来,对碳酸盐岩骨架、岩溶含水空间的微观和宏观介质特征进行了深入的研究,把中国北方岩溶含水介质概化为五种类型。 | Working Group of the Research Project Groundwater Resources in Karst Areas of North China and Prediction, Use and Management of Karst Water in Mine Areas | 1990 | 中国岩溶1990，9，4： | 12 |
| 4 | Prediction model for spring dust weather frequency in North China显示文摘It is of great social and scientific importance and also very difficult to make reliable prediction for dust weather frequency (DWF) in North China. In this paper, the correlation between spring DWF in Beijing and Tianjin observation stations, taken as examples in North China, and seasonally averaged surface air temperature, precipitation, Arctic Oscillation, Antarctic Oscillation, South Oscillation, near surface meridional wind and Eurasian westerly index is respectively calculated so as to construct a prediction model for spring DWF in North China by using these climatic factors. Two prediction models, i.e. model-I and model-II, are then set up respectively based on observed climate data and the 32-year (1970 -2001) extra-seasonal hindcast experiment data as reproduced by the nine-level Atmospheric General Circulation Model developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP9L-AGCM). It is indicated that the correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted DWF reaches 0.933 in the model-I, suggesting a high prediction skill one season ahead. The corresponding value is high up to 0.948 for the subsequent model-II, which involves synchronous spring climate data reproduced by the IAP9L-AGCM relative to the model-I. The model-II can not only make more precise prediction but also can bring forward the lead time of real-time prediction from the model-I’s one season to half year. At last, the real-time predictability of the two models is evaluated. It follows that both the models display high prediction skill for both the interannual variation and linear trend of spring DWF in North China, and each is also featured by different advantages. As for the model-II, the prediction skill is much higher than that of original approach by use of the IAP9L-AGCM alone. Therefore, the prediction idea put forward here should be popularized in other regions in China where dust weather occurs frequently. | LANG XianMei Center for Disastrous Climate Research and Prediction, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China | 2008 | Science China Earth Sciences2008，51，5： | 10 |
| 5 | Application of GIS in Mineral Resource Prediction of Synthetic Information显示文摘This paper introduces the formation mechanism and synthetic information prediction of large and superlarge deposits in Shandong Province by analyzing and studying on the GIS platform. The authors established a prospecting model of synthetic information from large and superlarge gold deposit concentration region, and the multi-source spatial database from concentration region of deposits and anomalies. On the basis of the spatial database, a target map layer, a model map layer and a predictive map layer were set up. Based on these map layers, geological variables of the model unit and predictive unit were extracted, then launched location and quantitative prediction of the gold deposit concentration region. The achievement of predicting large and superlarge deposits by the GIS platform has enabled the authors to design automation (or semi-automatic) interpretation subsystems, namely geophysics, geochemistry, geologic prospecting and comprehensive prognosis, and a set of the applicable GIS software for mineral resources prognosis of synthetic information. | Ye Shuisheng Wang Shicheng Li Deqiong Mineral Resources Institute of Comprehensive Information Prediction, Jilin University, Changchun 130026 | 2003 | Journal of China University of Geosciences2003，14，3： | 7 |
| 6 | Earthquake damage and loss estimation with Geographic Information System显示文摘IntroductionAsesingthepotentialearthquakedamageandlosinaregionisimportantformanyaspects,suchasriskmitigation,resourcesalocat... | YONG CHEN GE PING LI QI FU CHEN LING CHEN MIN FENG LI Center for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, China | 1998 | Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)1998，11，6： | 5 |
| 7 | 1983年菏泽5.9级地震与深井水位的变化显示文摘本文综述了1983年荷泽5.9级地震前深井水位变化的特征,分析了深井水位震时和震后短时间内的变化特点,并用震时深井水位的变化,通过深井水位的体应变固体潮效应,反演了这次地震引起区域应力场的调整变化。 | No. 4 Research Office (Shandong Research Center for Earthquake Prediction) | 1990 | 地震研究1990，13，1： | 5 |
| 8 | Group Strong Earthquakes and Triggering by Tidal Stress显示文摘The results obtained using the group model of earthquakes generated in tectonic blocks are further used in this paper to analyze the relationship between the M S≥7.0 events in Chinese mainland and the modulation and triggering from the earth tides. The research shows that the M S 7.0 events in Chinese mainland have been significantly triggered by the tidal stress, especially within the active period with group strong earthquakes. In the quiescence period of strong earthquakes, no M S7.0 events were triggered, while within the active period, over 82.4% of strong earthquakes took place within a special moon phase, which is 36.4% higher than the average. Therefore, the modulation and triggering of tidal stress can be used to distinguish the active periods and to forecast the time of the strong earthquakes within the active period. The relationship between the tidal triggering and the tectonic dynamic condition is investigated and the mechanism of the modulation is simulated with the group model of earthquakes generated in tectonic blocks. | Zhang Guomin, Li Li, Li Kaiwu, and Ma HongshengCenter for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, China | 2001 | Earthquake Research in China2001，15，4： | 4 |
| 9 | Completeness Analysis of the Historical Earthquake Catalogue in China显示文摘The historical earthquake catalogue of China has lasted more than 3000 years,and most of its data are inferred from historical records.The earthquake catalogue in earlier times is not complete owing to various reasons,so some events are lost.This paper estimates the loss rate of earthquakes with various magnitudes in the historical earthquake catalogue for different time intervals quantitatively by using the Gutenberg-Richter formula and modern instrumental records,which will provide the references for statistic research in seismicity. | Chen Yong and Chen QifuState Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100036,ChinaCenter for Analysis and Prediction,SSB,Beijing 100036,China | 1995 | Earthquake Research in China1995，9，4： | 3 |
| 10 | Confidence Evaluation of Medium-and Long-Term Earthquake Prediction by Use of the Analytical Hierarchy Process显示文摘This paper offers an approach to the relative confidence level of medium- and long-term earthquake prediction methods by use of the analytical hierarchy process (AHP). We construct the criterion judgment matrices according to the results of an expert questionnaire known as the Delphi scheme. From the matrices we can obtain a scale for the relative preference or priority weight of each factor. The quantitative weights might be applied to make synthetic prediction of earthquake risk areas in the northern part of the North China seismic region. | Wang Xiaoqing and Gao MengtanCenter for Analysis and Prediction, SSB, Beijing 100036, China Institute of Geophysics, SSB, Beijing 100081, China | 1996 | Earthquake Research in China1996，10，2： | 3 |
| 11 | The Experimental Simulation of Rocks on Load/Unload Response Ratio for Earthquake Prediction显示文摘The load/unload experiments on rock failure under pressure have been carried out in Material Test System (MTS) in the Laboratory for Non-linear Mechanics of Continuous Media (LNM), Institute of Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and load/unload response ratio (LURR) values with strain as response (i.e. inverse elastic constant as response rate) have been obtained. The experimental results are in accordance with theoretical results and those in real earthquakes: LURR rises just before rock failure. So LURR can be used as the precursor of rock failure and earthquake prediction. | Wang Yucang, Yin Xiangchu, and Wang HaitaoLaboratory for Non-linear Mechanics of Continuous Media (LNM), Institute of Mechanics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, ChinaLaboratory for Non-linear Mechanics of Continuous Media (LNM), Institute of Mechanics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, ChinaCenter for Analysis and Prediction , CSB, Beijing 100036, China | 1998 | Earthquake Research in China1998，12，4： | 3 |
| 12 | 中国北方寒武—奥陶系岩溶层组类型及其区域变化规律显示文摘本文在大量剖面资料统计的基础上,根据岩层的厚度比例和连续厚度及其组合形式,对我国北方寒武—奥陶系岩溶层组类型进行了划分,着重论述了岩溶层组类型的区域变化规律。为含水层系统的划分和水资源评价及区域岩溶发育规律的研究,提供了重要的基础资料。 | The working Group of the Research on Karst Groundwater-Resources in the North China and Prediction, Utilization and Management of Karst Water in Mine Area | 1991 | 中国岩溶1991，10，2： | 3 |
| 13 | Late Cenozoic Stratigraphic Sequence and Its Implication to Tectonic Evolution, Hejiakouzi Area, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region显示文摘The Late Cenozoic stratigraphic sequence and its information of tectonic evolution are obtained here through the detailed petrostratigraphic and magnetostratigraphic study and research of stratigraphic contact and sedmentary faces of the Cenozoic strata profile, Hejiakouzi area, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region. The intense Cenozoic tectonic deformation began at 10Ma BP in the Haiyuan-Tongxin Syntaxis, the northeastern margin of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, and a few deformation events occurred during Late Cenozoic Era. | Shen Xuhui, Tian Qinjian, Ding Guoyu, Wei Kaibo, and Chen ZhengweiCenter for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, ChinaChai ChizhangSeismological Bureau of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Yinchuan 750001, China | 2001 | Earthquake Research in China2001，15，4： | 2 |
| 14 | Theory and Method of Mineral Resource Prediction Based on Synthetic Information显示文摘Metallogenic prognosis of synthetic information uses the geological body and the mineral resource body as a statistical unit to interpret synthetically the information of geology, geophysics, geochemistry and remote sensing from the evolution of geology and puts all the information into one entire system by drawing up digitalized interpretation maps of the synthetic information. On such basis, different grades and types of mineral resource prospecting models and predictive models of synthetic information can be established. Hence, a new integrated prediction system will be formed of metallogenic prognosis (qualitative prediction), mineral resources statistic prediction (determining targets) and mineral resources prediction (determining resources amount). | Wang Shicheng Ye Shuisheng Zhou Dongdai Mineral Resources Institute of Comprehensive Information Prediction, Jilin University, Changchun 130026 | 2003 | Journal of China University of Geosciences2003，14，3： | 2 |
| 15 | Pegmatite remote sensing extraction and metallogenic prediction in Azubai area,Xinjiang显示文摘Remote sensing technique plays an important role in geological prospecting in Altay because of the remote location and steep terrain with mountains. Pegmatite has important implications for metallogenic prospecting as most of rare metals occurs in it. Pegmatite information from optical and radar images was extracted, and the spatial distribution and scale of pegmatite were generalized in Azubai, Altay. Three mining targets, that is, Halon-Azubai, Kuermutu-Tuyibaguo and Zhuolute-Akuoyige, were delineated based on the analysis of pegmatite information, structure interpretation and other geological data. | PENG Guang-xiong1, 2, YE Zhen-chao1, 2, GAO Guang-ming1, 2, FENG De-shan1, XIONG Yun1 1. School of Geosciences and Info-Physics, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China 2. Key Laboratory of Metallogenic Prediction of Nonferrous Metals, Ministry of Education, Changsha 410083, China | 2011 | 中国有色金属学会会刊:英文版2011，21，S3： | 2 |
| 16 | Application of GISto Geo-anomaly-Based Delineation of Mineral Resources显示文摘In this paper, the Dongchuan type copper deposits are taken as an example to illustrate the application of GIS to the geo anomaly based delineation of mineral resources. The following eight steps are listed in this paper to delineate the permissive and preferable ore finding areas: (1) the analysis of favorable prospecting index using linear and planar geo anomalies; (2) the analysis of favorable prospecting index using combined anomalies; (3) the construction of a GIS based spatial model for mineral prognosis; (4) the delineation of the permissive ore finding area; (5) the determination of the synthetic anomalies and numerical range for the prediction of the favorable prospecting areas, and the determination of the weights of these two variables; (6) the superimposition of all the selected anomalies and the construction of the superimposition map; (7) the determination of unifying criterion of favorable prospective areas at various levels, and (8) the delineation of favorable prospective areas. Finally, this paper offers a detailed discussion of the results in the forecasting of Dongchuan type copper deposits. | Chi Shundu Zhao Pengda Li Jianwei The Open Laboratory of Quantitative Prediction and Exploration Assessment of Mineral Resources, Ministry of Land and Resources, Wuhan 430074 | 2000 | Journal of Earth Science2000，19，2： | 2 |
| 17 | 蝗虫微孢子虫防治草原蝗害的研究初报显示文摘1988年对新疆草原优势种蝗虫进行了利用微孢子虫病源接种防治的研究,内容包括病源活体繁殖,室内接种感染以及野外防治技术的试验。结果表明:微孢子虫对飞蝗属和星翅蝗属优势种蝗虫有明显的感受性和致病力利用飞蝗活体作为病源繁殖寄主,个体产孢量最高达1.48×10^(10),可以用于病源的商品化生产。用厚淀粉层麦麸作为毒饵病源载体,采用飞机微量撒施方法进行大面积野外试验获得了明显的防治效果。 | The Prediction Center of Locust and Rodent,Xinjiang | 1989 | 草业科学1989，6，2： | 2 |
| 18 | The Character of Shear-wave Splitting in Marble in the Critical State of Rupture显示文摘This paper mainly observed and analyzed the character of shear-wave splitting in rock specimens while they were in the critical state of rupture. The rock specimens for study are made of Laizhou marble from Shandong, China. A series of records were obtained from two rock specimens when they were in the critical state of rupture. The result shows that, in the critical state just before rock rupture, there may be the phenomenon of rise and fall in the time delay of shear-wave splitting, even though the load was kept constant. That is to say, the time delay of shear-wave splitting may have a falling process before rock rupture. | Gao YuanCenter for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Burean, Beijing 100036, China | 2001 | Earthquake Research in China2001，15，1： | 2 |
| 19 | 显示文摘 | HOJJAT A ASHIF E A probabilistic neural network for earthquake magnitude prediction | 2009 | Neural Networks2009，22，5： | 1 |
| 20 | 264 Statistical Characters显示文摘 | Jianfeng X Zhibo Ch Yun H Efficient Fast ME Predictions and Early termination Strategy Based on H | 2003 | ICICS-PCM2003，1，： | 1 |
您所在的机构暂未开通此部分的功能，请联系管理员