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| 1 | CONFLICT ANALYSIS APPROACHES FOR INVESTIGATING ATTITUDES AND MISPERCEPTIONS IN THE WAR OF 1812显示文摘设计途径到为错误感觉和态度建模的正式系统在图模型的框架以内被采用让冲突分辨率系统地学习在美国和大 Britainin 顺序之间的 1812 的战争提供提高的卓见进战争的原因。更明确地,为偏爱,运动和稳定性概念的关系定义为描述态度被定义并且联系了涉及冲突的决定制造者的行为。到在 1812 的战争的决定制造者的俘获错误感觉,态度在一场亢奋的比赛的结构以内被学习。在图模型的范例以内的 Combiningattitudes 和错误感觉供应证明由英国和美国的态度的那误解可能贡献了这不干净的战争的爆发的灵活分析工具。 | Takehiro INOHARA Keith W. HIPEL Sean WALKER | 2007 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2007，16，2： | 29 |
| 2 | COMPARISON OF THE ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS AND THE GRAPH MODEL FOR CONFLICT RESOLUTION显示文摘A comparison of two decision analysis tools for the analysis of strategic conflicts, the Analytic Network Process (ANP) and the graph model for conflict resolution, is carried out by applying them to the China-US TV dumping conflict. Firstly, the graph model is introduced along with practical procedures for modeling and analyzing conflicts using the decision support software, GMCR II. Next, ANP is explained, emphasizing structural features and procedures for synthesizing priorities. Then a framework for employing ANP to analyze strategic conflicts is designed and used to compare ANP to the graph model. The case study of the China-US TV dumping conflict provides a basis for the graph model and ANP to be compared; different features of the approaches are highlighted. The study shows that because of different theoretical backgrounds, ANP and the graph model for conflict analysis both provide useful information which can be combined to furnish a better understanding of a strategic conflict. | Xin SU Ye CHEN Keith W. HIPEL D. Marc KILGOUR | 2005 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2005，14，3： | 9 |
| 3 | 复杂产品外购系统关键特性的质量事前控制策略显示文摘探索一套基于质量合同的外购产品质量事前控制方法,以辅助复杂产品主制造商管理外购产品的质量。通过在采购合同中设计奖惩策略,在不对称质量信息下诱使供应商自发地保证其产品的关键特性具备最优质量水平,最大限度地提升供应链质量收益并消除私有质量信息的不良影响。针对某商用飞机公司和某航空发动机公司的质量合作开展案例研究,验证上述模型和方法的可行性和有效性,为复杂产品质量控制问题提供了一类崭新的研究思路和解决方法。 | 刘远 Hipel Keith W 方志耕 袁文峰 | 2012 | 系统工程与电子技术2012，34，11： | 6 |
| 4 | OPTION PRIORITIZATION FOR UNKNOWN PREFERENCE显示文摘一种选择 prioritization 技术被开发高效地得到偏爱,未知、松脆,在战略冲突的决定制造者(数据管理系统) 。在为冲突分辨率的图模型,每 DM 有至少一种选择,其各个可以被选择。一种州,或可能的情形,当时,被形成所有数据管理系统做一种选择选择。软件 GMCR II 包含使让 modeller 进入用描述数据管理系统的按优先级排列的陈述在州上订的数据管理系统松脆的偏爱容易的一个选择 prioritization 过程比较喜欢的选择联合。这个过程被增加二新逻辑 connectives 扩大描述偏爱的无常。为每 DM,为各可行的状态的可能的分数的一个范围当时能是计算的,便于订的偏爱的决心由比较并且评价分数包含无常。为了表明这新方法论怎么能习惯于,处于一个真实世界的决定问题代表未知偏爱,它在建议的水出口上被用于加拿大的争论。 | Jing Yu Keith W. Hipel D. Marc Kilgour Min Zhao | 2016 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2016，25，1： | 5 |
| 5 | RISK REDUCTION IN A PROJECT PORTFOLIO显示文摘作为一个公事包管理工程的积极影响被比较一个工程公事包的综合风险和独立实现的单个工程风险的聚集的价值确定。第一,综合风险被基于集合理论建议危险事件定义。第二,在一个工程公事包与对方一起作为工程交往,综合风险被使用一个贝叶斯的网络评估构造风险的一个相互依赖的网络的结构学习算法。最后,一个实际盒子的综合风险用这个方法被估计,并且结果证明建议方法是为计算实现一个工程公事包并且识别的风险减小的程度的一个有效工具最危险工程,以便在在控制的公事包选择和公事包的阶段做全面决定帮助公司。 | Dujuan Guan Peng Guo Keith W. Hipel Liping Fang | 2017 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2017，26，1： | 4 |
| 6 | SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS APPROACH TO POLICY DEVELOPMENT FOR GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY显示文摘A formal policy development framework,based on a system of systems(SoS) approach,is synthesized to systematically address,in an integrative and adaptive fashion,major global challenges, such as the current food and financial crises,and their interactions with other key natural,societal,and technological systems.A SoS approach seeks to respect the different value systems of multiple participants,to harness complexity through effective integration,and to engage the world of uncertainty and unpredictability with an adaptive response.Faced with the present global challenges, what is needed are strategic and operational methods which lead to ethical policies,enhance integrative and adaptive management practices,and are able to direct conflict resolution in a positive direction. Policy makers need tools to model and analyze complex systems which they are trying to responsibly govern,taking into account values and risks to design and evaluate different policies.A preliminary investigation into the global food system is undertaken to understand the SoS and to provide insights on how to carry out policy development using the proposed framework. | Keith W. HIPEL Liping FANG Michele HENG | 2010 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2010，19，1： | 3 |
| 7 | Strategic Analysis of a Regulatory Conflict Using Dempster-Shafer Theory and AHP for Preference Elicitation显示文摘Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) are integrated in order to elicit preference information from experts regarding decision makers (DMs) involved in a regulatory conflict. More precisely, DST is used for combining expert knowledge regarding preferences of a specific DM (the regulatory body), and AHP is employed for ranking feasible states in the conflict for this same DM. In order to illustrate how this preference elicitation proposal can be conveniently implemented in practice within the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR), it is applied to a real construction dispute located in the city of Ipojuca, Brazil. The conflict is modeled with three DMs: support, opposition, and the regulatory body. Results show that the new preference methodology possesses many inherent advantages including high flexibility the ability to capture uncertainty or even ignorance about preferences, the possibility of combining expert knowledge with respect to missing preferences, and a substantial reduction in the number of pairwise comparisons of states required to express preference information. | Maisa M. Silva Keith W. Hipel D. Marc Kilgour Ana Paula C. S. Costa | 2019 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2019，28，4： | 2 |
| 8 | The Strategy of Escalation and Negotiation: The Iran Nuclear Dispute显示文摘The strategic decisions and resulting consequences surrounding the conflict between the United States of America (US) and Iran regarding the Iranian nuclear program are formally investigated using a flexible decision methodology called the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR). This highly controversial dispute caught the world's attention as concerns were growing that Iran would reach a position where it would be able to build nuclear weapons, thereby posing a risk to world security. While Iran insisted on its rights for the peaceful use of nuclear technology;the international community;led by the US, tried to discourage the nuclear activities of Iran to ensure its obligations to the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons. This led to an escalation of tension on both sides, with an extension of the nuclear program by Iran and an increase in sanctions by the US, before it was possible to arrive at a negotiated agreement. As demonstrated in this paper, a systematic GMCR investigation provides valuable strategic insights into this important conflict. Further, it illustrates ways in which the conflict could have evolved, as well as mechanisms for stopping an escalation like this in the future. | Tobias W. Langenegger Keith W. Hipel | 2019 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2019，28，4： | 2 |
| 9 | A HIERARCHICAL MULTIPLE CRITERIA MODEL FOR ELICITING RELATIVE PREFERENCES IN CONFLICT SITUATIONS显示文摘一条多重标准决定分析(MCDA ) 途径为捕获涉及冲突的一个决定制造者的相对偏爱信息被设计。更明确地,一条 MCDA 途径基于高方法, ELECTRE III,为从大多数在冲突评价状态或可能的情形到被采用在关系被允许的地方,最不比较喜欢,为一个决定制造者根据值系统。为了表明这偏爱引导方法论能方便地在图模型的框架以内在实践被实现为,冲突分辨率,它被用于发生在北方 Battleford 的镇上的一个真实世界水供应危机,在萨克其万的加拿大的省定位了。 | Ginger Y. KE Bing FU Mitali DE Keith W. HIPEL | 2012 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering2012，21，1： | 2 |
| 10 | Solving complex conflicts显示文摘 | FRASER N M HIPEL K W | 1979 | IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics1979，9，12： | 1 |
| 11 | The future of systems, man, and cybernetics: Application domains and research methods显示文摘 | Hipel K W Jamshidi M M Tien J M | 2007 | IEEA Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics - Part C: Applications and Reviews2007，37，5： | 1 |
| 12 | Preservation of the rescaled adjusted range显示文摘 | Mcheod A I HiPel K W | 1978 | Water Resources Research1978，14，： | 1 |
| 13 | Strength of preference in the graph model for conflict resolution 显示文摘 | Hamouda L Kilgour D M Hipel K W | 2004 | Group Decision and Negotiation2004，13，5： | 1 |
| 14 | Fuzzy relation analysis formulticriteria water resources management显示文摘 | YIN Y Y HUANG G H HIPEL K W | 1999 | Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management1999，125，1： | 1 |
| 15 | Strength of preference in graph models for multiple-decision-makerconflicts 显示文摘 | Hamouda L Kilgour D M Hipel K W | 2006 | Applied Mathematics and Computation2006，179，1： | 1 |
| 16 | A deci- sion support system for interactive decision making-part 1: Model formulation显示文摘 | Fang Liping Hipel K W Kigour D M | 2003 | IEEE Transactions on Sys- tems Man and Cybernetics Part C-Applications and Re- views2003，33，1： | 1 |
| 17 | Strength of preference in graph models for multiple-decision-maker conflicts显示文摘 | HAMOUDA L KILGOUR D M HIPEL K W | 2006 | Applied Mathematics and Computation2006，179，1： | 1 |
| 18 | A case-based reasoning system for conflict resolution: design and implementation 显示文摘 | Ross Sara Fang Liping Hipel Keith W | 2002 | Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence2002，15，34： | 1 |
| 19 | Multiple levels of preference in interactive strategic decisions 显示文摘 | Xu Haiyan Hipel K W Kilgour D M | 2009 | Dis- crete Applied Mathematics2009，157，15： | 1 |
| 20 | A Case-based Reasoning System for Conflict Resolution: Design and Implementation 显示文摘 | Ross S Fang L P Hipel K W | 2002 | Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence2002，15，34： | 1 |
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