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| 1 | Climate Changes in the 21st Century over the Asia-Pacific Region Simulated by the NCAR CSM and PCM显示文摘The Climate System Model (CSM) and the Parallel Climate Model (PCM), two coupled global climate models without flux adjustments recently developed at NCAR, were used to simulate the 20th century climate using historical greenhouse gas and sulfate aerosol forcing. These simulations were extended through the 21st century under two newly developed scenarios, a business-as-usual case (BAU, CO2≈710 ppmv in 2100) and a CO2 stabilization case (STA550, CO2≈540 ppmv in 2100). The simulated changes in temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture over the Asia-Pacific region (10°-60°N, 55°-155°) are analyzed, with a focus on the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall and climate changes over the upper reaches of the Yangtze River. Under the BAU scenario, both the models produce surface warming of about 3-5℃ in winter and 2-3℃ in summer over most Asia. Under the STA550 scenario, the warming is reduced by 0.5-1.0℃ in winter and by 0.5℃ in summer. The warming is fairly uniform at the low latitudes and does not induce significant changes in the zonal mean Hadley circulation over the Asia-Pacific do- main While the regional precipitation changes from single CSM integrations are noisy, the PCM ensemble mean precipitation shows 10%-30% increases north of ~ 30°N and~10% decreases south of ~ 30°N over the Asia-Pacific region in winter and 10%-20% increases in summer precipitation over most of the region. Soil moisture changes are small over most Asia The CSM single simulation suggests a 30% increase in river runoff into the Three Gorges Dam, but the PCM ensemble simulations show small changes in the | Aiguo Dai, G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, and T.M.L. Wigley National Center for Atmospheric Research P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 ) Email: adai@ ucar. edu The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the U S National Science Foundation. | 2001 | Advances in Atmospheric Sciences2001，18，5： | 9 |
| 2 | CT features of esophageal emergencies显示文摘 | Young CA Menias CO Bhalla S | 2008 | Radiographics2008，28，6： | 1 |
| 3 | In vivo antioxi- dative activities in natto using nematode Caenorhabditis elegans显示文摘 | Ibe S Ohyamatofu Co Ltd I Hiroi T | 2010 | Journal of the Japanese Society for Food Sci- ence and Technology(Japan)2010，10，： | 1 |
| 4 | Interferon- alpha and-beta restrict polyomavirus JC replication in primary human fetal glial cells: implications for progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy therapy 显示文摘 | CO JK VERMA S GURJAV U | 2007 | J Infect Dis2007，196，5： | 1 |
| 5 | Interacuon of CO with carbon and carbon surface oxides显示文摘 | Brown T Co Haynes B S | 1992 | Energy and Fuels1992，6，2： | 1 |
| 6 | Experimental models to study molecular mechanisms underlying intestinal inflammation显示文摘 | Elson CO Cong Y Brandweins S | 1998 | Ann N Y Acad Sci1998，，859： | 1 |
| 7 | Lack of antioxidant activity of the antiatherogenic compound L-arginine 显示文摘 | ADAMS M R CO V P ROLAND S | 1999 | Atherosclerosis1999，146，2： | 1 |
| 8 | Nanostructured materials for water desalination显示文摘 | Humplik T Lee J CO~Hern S | 2011 | Nanotechnology2011，22，： | 1 |
| 9 | Multiple biochemical effects in the pathogenesis of alcoholic fatty liver显示文摘 | Eaton S Record CO Bartlett K | 1997 | European Journal of Clinical Investigation1997，27，9： | 1 |
| 10 | Risk of death among chronic dialysis patients infected with hepatitis C virus 显示文摘 | Stehman-Breen CO Emerson S Gretch D | 1998 | American Journal of Kidney Diseases1998，32，4： | 1 |
| 11 | Refinement in surgical technique of liver transplantation显示文摘 | Starzl TE Iwatsuki S Esquivel CO | 1985 | Semin liver Dis1985，5，4： | 1 |
| 12 | Analysis of surgical margins with the molecular marker eIF4E: a prognostic factor in patients with head and neck cancer显示文摘 | Nathan CO Franklin S Abreo FW | 1999 | J Clin Oncol1999，17，9： | 1 |
| 13 | Use of RAPD to detect sodium arsenite-induced DNA damage in human lym- phoblastoid cells 显示文摘 | Lee Y Co Yang V C Wang T S | 2007 | Toxicology2007，239，： | 1 |
| 14 | Five-port Equivalent Electric Circuit of Piezoelectric Bimorph Beam显示文摘 | Co J S Pak E Jeong H M Sung K H | 1999 | Proceedings of the SPIE -the International Society for Optical Engineering1999，，29： | 1 |
| 15 | Batch scheme recursive parameter estimation of continuous-time systems using the modulating function method显示文摘 | Co T B Ungarala S | 1997 | Automatica1997，33，6： | 1 |
| 16 | CT features of esophageal emergencies 显示文摘 | Young CA Menias CO Bhalla S | 2008 | Radiographics2008，28，6： | 1 |
| 17 | Shear nano- structuring of monoglyceride organogels 显示文摘 | DA PIEVE S CALLIGARIS S CO E | 2010 | Food Bio- phys2010，5，3： | 1 |
| 18 | Risk of death among chronic dialysis(hematic) patients infected with hepatitis virus C显示文摘 | Stehman Breen Co Emerson S Gmerson S | 1998 | Am J Kideney Dis1998，32，4： | 1 |
| 19 | Regional changes in the expression of neurotrophic factors and their receptors following acute traumatic brain injury in the adult rat brain显示文摘 | Yesiku NM Evans CO Houston S | 1999 | Brain Res1999，833，2： | 1 |
| 20 | Discharge planning from hospital to home 显示文摘 | Shepperd S McClaran J Phillips CO | 2010 | Cochrane Database Syst Rev2010，，00： | 1 |
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